Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Chanticleers @ Spartans CCU @ UPST

COASTAL CAROLINA

CHANTICLEERSCCU

5-3  |  Road

78
FINAL
Wed, Dec 3 • 7:00 PM ET
G.B. Hodge Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE

SPARTANSUPST

4-5  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
CHANTICLEERS
0%
📊
SPARTANS
100%
CHANTICLEERS --
SPARTANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
COASTAL CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Coastal Carolina)
ChanticleersCCU (-3.5) 0 SpartansUPST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chanticleers Cover

99.2%

Spartans Cover

0.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CCU -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CCU)

CCU By 1-7 points

4.0%

CCU By 8-14 points

12.2%

UPST By 1-7 points

0.6%

UPST By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
76
COASTAL CAROLINA
52
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Simulated Score
71
COASTAL CAROLINA
78
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Chanticleers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Spartans Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Chanticleers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Spartans (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 3, 2025 CCU @ UPST 78 - 85
Nov 30, 2024 UPST @ CCU 51 - 73
Nov 29, 2023 UPST @ CCU 70 - 72
Nov 18, 2022 CCU @ UPST 78 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +11.4%
Coastal Carolina: 69.7% vs South Carolina Upstate: 58.2%
Rebounding (L5) +10.6% more
Coastal Carolina: 41.1 vs South Carolina Upstate: 36.7
Blocks (L5) +85.7% more
South Carolina Upstate: 5.7 vs Coastal Carolina: 3.1
Steals (L5) +72.6% more
South Carolina Upstate: 7.6 vs Coastal Carolina: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CCU Score 76.0 78
UPST Score 52.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.8 / 28.7 35.0 / 43.0
Assists 14.4 / 9.7 8.0 / 10.0
Blocks 5.7 / 3.1 9.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 42.5 / 36.8 43.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 58.2 / 69.7 67.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 36.7 / 41.1 47.0 / 44.0
Steals 7.6 / 4.4 5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 10.9 11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
44%MONEY56%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
72%MONEY28%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
UPST
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCU Advantage
18-12-1 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
UPST
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.6
UPST
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UPST
CCU
UPST
CCU
ML
61% 19-12
41% 13-19
83% 25-5
55% 17-14
ATS
61% 19-12
38% 12-20
83% 25-5
55% 17-14
TTL
52% 16-15
75% 24-8
100% 30-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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