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FLORIDA GULF COAST

EAGLESFGCU

5-3  |  Road

83
FINAL
Wed, Dec 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Ocean Bank Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL

PANTHERSFIU

3-3  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
EAGLES --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Florida International)
EaglesFGCU (-3.5) 0 PanthersFIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

2.3%

Panthers Cover

97.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FIU -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FIU)

FGCU By 1-7 points

1.7%

FGCU By 8-14 points

0.3%

FIU By 1-7 points

8.0%

FIU By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
49
FLORIDA GULF COAST
69
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Simulated Score
69
FLORIDA GULF COAST
74
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 3, 2025 FGCU @ FIU 83 - 89
Nov 24, 2024 FIU @ FGCU 59 - 60
Nov 29, 2023 FGCU @ FIU 68 - 65
Dec 4, 2022 FIU @ FGCU 65 - 74
Dec 1, 2021 FGCU @ FIU 61 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +104.2% more
Florida International: 5.8 vs Florida Gulf Coast: 2.8
Assists (L5) +15.8% more
Florida International: 16.2 vs Florida Gulf Coast: 14.0
Turnovers (L5) +15.9% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 12.7 vs Florida International: 10.7
Free Throw % (L5) +12.4%
Florida Gulf Coast: 71.5% vs Florida International: 59.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FGCU Score 49.0 83
FIU Score 69.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.3 / 39.4 38.0 / 26.0
Assists 16.2 / 14.0 16.0 / 25.0
Blocks 5.8 / 2.8 6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 40.3 / 46.2 45.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 59.1 / 71.5 86.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 40.3 / 39.0 32.0 / 39.0
Steals 9.8 / 9.9 11.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 12.7 13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
69%MONEY31%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FGCU Advantage
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
FIU
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FGCU
9-22-1 (29.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
FIU Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
FGCU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +1.3
FIU
15-13-1
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FIU
FGCU
FIU
FGCU
ML
58% 18-13
58% 19-14
65% 20-11
67% 22-11
ATS
52% 16-15
61% 20-13
65% 20-11
67% 22-11
TTL
65% 20-11
61% 20-13
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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