AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
BULLS
0%
NETS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
256.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
BKN By 1-7 points
16.9%
BKN By 8-14 points
6.8%
CHI By 1-7 points
26.8%
CHI By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
125
BROOKLYN
Chicago
131
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
108
BROOKLYN
Chicago
112
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (+8)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o232.0
Loss
Proj Total: 256.0
D
Sim
u232.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 9, 2026
CHI @ BKN
115 - 123
Jan 18, 2026
BKN @ CHI
102 - 124
Jan 16, 2026
CHI @ BKN
109 - 112
Dec 3, 2025
BKN @ CHI
113 - 103
Mar 13, 2025
BKN @ CHI
110 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+10.1% more
Chicago: 43.4
vs
Brooklyn: 39.4
Assists (L5)
+8.5% more
Chicago: 28.4
vs
Brooklyn: 26.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
Chicago: 47.5%
vs
Brooklyn: 44.3%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.4%
Brooklyn: 74.7%
vs
Chicago: 71.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
125.0
113
CHI Score
131.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 36.2
23.0 / 41.0
Assists
28.4 / 26.2
20.0 / 30.0
Blocks
3.9 / 3.8
1.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
47.5 / 44.3
42.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
71.3 / 74.7
80.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
43.4 / 39.4
42.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.0 / 6.7
14.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
15.9 / 14.8
16.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
BKN
CHI
BKN
ML
56%
54-42
53%
50-45
57%
46-35
59%
48-34
ATS
65%
62-33-1
52%
48-44-3
57%
46-35
59%
48-34
TTL
58%
56-40
57%
54-41
100%
81-0
100%
82-0