AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
BISONS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES
--
BISONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
LIPSCOMB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Lipscomb)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIP -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIP)
TNTC By 1-7 points
4.0%
TNTC By 8-14 points
0.8%
LIP By 1-7 points
13.7%
LIP By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Tennessee Tech
64
TENNESSEE TECH
Lipscomb
80
LIPSCOMB
Simulated Score
Tennessee Tech
72
TENNESSEE TECH
Lipscomb
78
LIPSCOMB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bisons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bisons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bisons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Bisons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
TNTC @ LIP
80 - 83
Nov 14, 2023
LIP @ TNTC
96 - 65
Dec 14, 2022
TNTC @ LIP
63 - 64
Nov 23, 2021
LIP @ TNTC
77 - 88
Dec 17, 2019
TNTC @ LIP
60 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+51.6% more
Lipscomb: 19.4
vs
Tennessee Tech: 12.8
Steals (L5)
+41.7% more
Lipscomb: 9.6
vs
Tennessee Tech: 6.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+17.1%
Lipscomb: 40.9%
vs
Tennessee Tech: 23.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
Lipscomb: 46.9%
vs
Tennessee Tech: 42.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TNTC Score
64.0
80
LIP Score
80.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.9 / 23.9
34.0 / 45.0
Assists
19.4 / 12.8
20.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.4 / 2.3
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 42.4
45.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
71.4 / 67.9
70.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
35.9 / 35.2
36.0 / 38.0
Steals
9.6 / 6.7
9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.4 / 14.1
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TNTC
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.4
LIP
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TNTC
Advantage
14-14-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.4
LIP
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
TNTC
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.6
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIP
TNTC
LIP
TNTC
ML
71%
22-9
50%
15-15
66%
19-10
65%
15-8
ATS
71%
22-9
50%
15-15
66%
19-10
65%
15-8
TTL
58%
18-13
57%
17-13
100%
29-0
100%
23-0