Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dragons @ Eagles DREX @ AMER

DREXEL

DRAGONSDREX

4-4  |  Road

73
FINAL
Wed, Dec 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Bender Arena
View Odds Details →

AMERICAN UNIVERSITY

EAGLESAMER

5-4  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
DRAGONS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
DRAGONS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
110.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (American University)
DragonsDREX (-3.5) 0 EaglesAMER (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dragons Cover

0.8%

Eagles Cover

99.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AMER -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AMER)

DREX By 1-7 points

0.6%

DREX By 8-14 points

0.1%

AMER By 1-7 points

4.0%

AMER By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
43
DREXEL
67
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
65
DREXEL
71
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 110.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 3, 2025 DREX @ AMER 73 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +56.7% more
American University: 8.3 vs Drexel: 5.3
Free Throw % (L5) +9.3%
American University: 77.5% vs Drexel: 68.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.7%
American University: 46.1% vs Drexel: 42.4%
Blocks (L5) +61.3% more
Drexel: 4.6 vs American University: 1.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DREX Score 43.0 73
AMER Score 67.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.9 / 34.2 35.0 / 33.0
Assists 12.8 / 12.7 10.0 / 12.0
Blocks 1.8 / 4.6 0.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 46.1 / 42.4 41.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 77.5 / 68.1 67.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 34.2 / 39.1 35.0 / 38.0
Steals 8.3 / 5.3 8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 12.2 6.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DREX Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +0.3
AMER
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DREX Advantage
18-13-1 (58.1%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +0.3
AMER
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -2.8
AMER
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AMER
DREX
AMER
DREX
ML
62% 20-12
58% 19-14
62% 20-12
81% 26-6
ATS
59% 19-13
70% 23-10
62% 20-12
81% 26-6
TTL
59% 19-13
48% 16-17
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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