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AUSTIN PEAY

GOVERNORSAPSU

4-3  |  Road

84
FINAL
Wed, Dec 3 • 7:00 PM ET
M.A.C. Center
View Odds Details →

KENT STATE

GOLDEN FLASHESKENT

7-1  |  Home

96
AI Model Win Probability
GOVERNORS
100%
📊
GOLDEN FLASHES
0%
GOVERNORS --
GOLDEN FLASHES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
KENT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Kent State)
GovernorsAPSU (-3.5) 0 Golden FlashesKENT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Governors Cover

2.9%

Golden Flashes Cover

97.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KENT -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENT)

APSU By 1-7 points

2.2%

APSU By 8-14 points

0.4%

KENT By 1-7 points

9.3%

KENT By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
57
AUSTIN PEAY
76
KENT STATE
Simulated Score
69
AUSTIN PEAY
74
KENT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Flashes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Flashes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Flashes (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Golden Flashes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Loss
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 3, 2025 APSU @ KENT 84 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +101.1% more
Kent State: 3.6 vs Austin Peay: 1.8
Assists (L5) +57.1% more
Kent State: 24.0 vs Austin Peay: 15.3
Rebounding (L5) +23.7% more
Kent State: 45.8 vs Austin Peay: 37.0
Turnovers (L5) +15.1% more
Kent State: 12.6 vs Austin Peay: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
APSU Score 57.0 84
KENT Score 76.0 96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.3 / 36.7 54.0 / 42.0
Assists 24.0 / 15.3 15.0 / 22.0
Blocks 3.6 / 1.8 7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 50.7 / 46.2 59.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 63.7 / 68.0 72.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 45.8 / 37.0 32.0 / 31.0
Steals 9.7 / 8.5 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.6 / 11.0 13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
APSU Advantage
22-9-0 (71.0%)
Margin: 8.4 ATS +/-: +1.3
KENT
24-10-0 (70.6%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
APSU Advantage
14-14-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.4 ATS +/-: +1.3
KENT
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
APSU
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +2.2
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENT
APSU
KENT
APSU
ML
53% 18-16
53% 16-14
65% 22-12
59% 16-11
ATS
65% 22-12
57% 17-13
65% 22-12
59% 16-11
TTL
44% 15-19
57% 17-13
100% 34-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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