SOUTHERN INDIANA
SCREAMING EAGLESUSI
3-5 | Road
74
WESTERN MICHIGAN
BRONCOSWMU
3-5 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
SCREAMING EAGLES
0%
BRONCOS
100%
SCREAMING EAGLES
--
BRONCOS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Southern Indiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around USI -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USI)
USI By 1-7 points
27.2%
USI By 8-14 points
23.0%
WMU By 1-7 points
18.6%
WMU By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Southern Indiana
72
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Western Michigan
67
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
Southern Indiana
68
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Western Michigan
72
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Screaming Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Broncos
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Screaming Eagles (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Broncos (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
USI @ WMU
74 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+71.7% more
Southern Indiana: 5.5
vs
Western Michigan: 1.5
Rebounding (L5)
+26.2% more
Southern Indiana: 46.3
vs
Western Michigan: 34.1
Assists (L5)
+19.2% more
Southern Indiana: 15.4
vs
Western Michigan: 12.4
Turnovers (L5)
+12.8% more
Western Michigan: 13.5
vs
Southern Indiana: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
USI Score
72.0
74
WMU Score
67.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 31.5
43.0 / 43.0
Assists
12.4 / 15.4
18.0 / 8.0
Blocks
1.5 / 5.5
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.4 / 42.5
55.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
71.7 / 59.9
67.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
34.1 / 46.3
41.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.4 / 5.6
3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 12.0
10.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USI
7-23-0
(23.3%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
WMU
Advantage
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USI
11-16-1
(40.7%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
WMU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.7
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
USI
11-17-0
O: 39.3% / U: 60.7%
Total +/-: -3.3
WMU
18-11-0
O: 62.1% / U: 37.9%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WMU
USI
WMU
USI
ML
60%
18-12
67%
20-10
70%
21-9
61%
17-11
ATS
67%
20-10
70%
21-9
70%
21-9
61%
17-11
TTL
57%
17-13
73%
22-8
100%
30-0
100%
28-0
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