MARSHALL
THUNDERING HERDMRSH
5-2 | Road
69
UNC WILMINGTON
SEAHAWKSUNCW
7-1 | Home
70
AI Model Win Probability
THUNDERING HERD
100%
SEAHAWKS
0%
THUNDERING HERD
--
SEAHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-47.0
UNC WILMINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +47.0 points (UNC Wilmington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNCW -47.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCW)
MRSH By 1-7 points
0.0%
MRSH By 8-14 points
0.0%
UNCW By 1-7 points
0.0%
UNCW By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Marshall
52
MARSHALL
UNC Wilmington
99
UNC WILMINGTON
Simulated Score
Marshall
70
MARSHALL
UNC Wilmington
75
UNC WILMINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Seahawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Seahawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Seahawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Sim
Seahawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
MRSH @ UNCW
69 - 70
Dec 7, 2024
MRSH @ UNCW
69 - 78
Dec 21, 2023
UNCW @ MRSH
78 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+10.1% more
UNC Wilmington: 16.3
vs
Marshall: 14.8
Rebounding (L5)
+8.4% more
UNC Wilmington: 41.5
vs
Marshall: 38.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.7%
UNC Wilmington: 50.4%
vs
Marshall: 42.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.9%
UNC Wilmington: 41.3%
vs
Marshall: 34.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MRSH Score
52.0
69
UNCW Score
99.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.3 / 34.4
23.0 / 32.0
Assists
16.3 / 14.8
9.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.1 / 4.9
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
50.4 / 42.7
33.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
73.1 / 77.2
74.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
41.5 / 38.3
40.0 / 34.0
Steals
5.6 / 6.8
4.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 14.1
6.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MRSH
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -1.8
UNCW
Advantage
27-7-0
(79.4%)
Margin: 8.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MRSH
10-20-1
(33.3%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -1.8
UNCW
Advantage
16-14-2
(53.3%)
Margin: 8.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MRSH
19-11-1
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +4.1
UNCW
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCW
MRSH
UNCW
MRSH
ML
64%
21-12
70%
21-9
52%
17-16
62%
18-11
ATS
58%
19-14
70%
21-9
52%
17-16
62%
18-11
TTL
61%
20-13
50%
15-15
100%
33-0
100%
29-0
Contextual Game News
Isaiah Marshall's Rocky Start: Kansas QB Shows Flashes but Seeks…
Seahawks Panic, Mets Cheer Wrong Guy: The Overreaction Epidemic …
Kansas QB Isaiah Marshall Reflects on First Collegiate Start Aft…
Jayhawks' New QB-WR Duo Shines in Dominant Season-Opening Victory
Seahawks Sign Former Lions First-Round Pick Amid Legal Turmoil