HOFSTRA
PRIDEHOF
5-3 | Road
70
COLUMBIA
LIONSCOLU
7-1 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
PRIDE
0%
LIONS
100%
PRIDE
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Hofstra)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOF -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)
HOF By 1-7 points
3.3%
HOF By 8-14 points
10.7%
COLU By 1-7 points
0.5%
COLU By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Hofstra
84
HOFSTRA
Columbia
59
COLUMBIA
Simulated Score
Hofstra
65
HOFSTRA
Columbia
78
COLUMBIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pride
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pride (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
HOF @ COLU
70 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+29.6% more
Hofstra: 4.4
vs
Columbia: 3.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.2%
Hofstra: 79.5%
vs
Columbia: 68.3%
Assists (L5)
+29.8% more
Columbia: 19.3
vs
Hofstra: 14.9
Rebounding (L5)
+26.0% more
Columbia: 48.7
vs
Hofstra: 38.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOF Score
84.0
70
COLU Score
59.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.1 / 36.5
43.0 / 41.0
Assists
19.3 / 14.9
14.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.1 / 4.4
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
53.8 / 47.4
43.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
68.3 / 79.5
75.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
48.7 / 38.6
36.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.6 / 5.6
3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.8 / 13.4
12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOF
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
COLU
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOF
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
COLU
13-13-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
COLU
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLU
HOF
COLU
HOF
ML
44%
12-15
77%
27-8
56%
15-12
71%
25-10
ATS
59%
16-11
83%
29-6
56%
15-12
71%
25-10
TTL
74%
20-7
51%
18-17
100%
27-0
100%
35-0
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