PORTLAND STATE
VIKINGSPRST
4-2 | Road
77
SOUTH DAKOTA
COYOTESSDAK
5-3 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
0%
COYOTES
100%
VIKINGS
--
COYOTES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
111.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
PORTLAND STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Portland State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PRST -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRST)
PRST By 1-7 points
21.6%
PRST By 8-14 points
27.4%
SDAK By 1-7 points
9.3%
SDAK By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland State
61
PORTLAND STATE
South Dakota
50
SOUTH DAKOTA
Simulated Score
Portland State
71
PORTLAND STATE
South Dakota
75
SOUTH DAKOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Vikings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Coyotes
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Vikings (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Coyotes (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 111.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
PRST @ SDAK
77 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+16.2% more
Portland State: 3.3
vs
South Dakota: 2.8
Assists (L5)
+14.7% more
Portland State: 15.5
vs
South Dakota: 13.2
Rebounding (L5)
+13.0% more
Portland State: 44.0
vs
South Dakota: 38.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
Portland State: 33.8%
vs
South Dakota: 29.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PRST Score
61.0
77
SDAK Score
50.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.3 / 33.8
24.0 / 30.0
Assists
13.2 / 15.5
8.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.8 / 3.3
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 46.1
38.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
68.0 / 69.8
68.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
38.3 / 44.0
40.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.8 / 6.8
12.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 14.5
17.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRST
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
SDAK
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRST
Advantage
18-9-1
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
SDAK
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
PRST
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.9
SDAK
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SDAK
PRST
SDAK
PRST
ML
70%
21-9
65%
20-11
63%
19-11
71%
22-9
ATS
70%
21-9
71%
22-9
63%
19-11
71%
22-9
TTL
67%
20-10
47%
14-16-1
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
