WRIGHT STATE
RAIDERSWRST
4-5 | Road
68
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
PENGUINSYSU
5-4 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
0%
PENGUINS
100%
RAIDERS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
WRIGHT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Wright State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WRST -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WRST)
WRST By 1-7 points
1.1%
WRST By 8-14 points
4.8%
YSU By 1-7 points
0.1%
YSU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Wright State
78
WRIGHT STATE
Youngstown State
48
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Simulated Score
Wright State
72
WRIGHT STATE
Youngstown State
78
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Raiders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Raiders (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 15, 2026
YSU @ WRST
83 - 93
Dec 3, 2025
WRST @ YSU
68 - 69
Jan 30, 2025
WRST @ YSU
86 - 88
Dec 18, 2024
YSU @ WRST
80 - 70
Feb 1, 2024
YSU @ WRST
88 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+43.1% more
Wright State: 4.6
vs
Youngstown State: 2.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Wright State: 39.5%
vs
Youngstown State: 35.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.3%
Wright State: 49.5%
vs
Youngstown State: 46.2%
Turnovers (L5)
+20.6% more
Youngstown State: 14.8
vs
Wright State: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WRST Score
78.0
68
YSU Score
48.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.7 / 39.5
35.0 / 23.0
Assists
14.8 / 14.5
12.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.6 / 4.6
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 49.5
45.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
70.8 / 64.7
60.0 / 54.0
Rebounding
33.5 / 33.4
39.0 / 23.0
Steals
8.0 / 7.6
4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 12.3
17.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WRST
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +2.0
YSU
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WRST
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +2.0
YSU
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5%
Total +/-: +3.3
YSU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
YSU
WRST
YSU
WRST
ML
57%
17-13
37%
13-22
67%
20-10
63%
22-13
ATS
47%
14-16
46%
16-19
67%
20-10
63%
22-13
TTL
60%
18-12
63%
22-13
100%
30-0
100%
35-0
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