IU INDIANAPOLIS
JAGUARSIUIN
3-6 | Road
78
DETROIT MERCY
TITANSDETM
2-6 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
100%
TITANS
0%
JAGUARS
--
TITANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
DETROIT MERCY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Detroit Mercy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DETM -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DETM)
IUIN By 1-7 points
0.3%
IUIN By 8-14 points
0.0%
DETM By 1-7 points
2.2%
DETM By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
IU Indianapolis
60
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Detroit Mercy
87
DETROIT MERCY
Simulated Score
IU Indianapolis
69
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Detroit Mercy
73
DETROIT MERCY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Titans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Titans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Titans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Titans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 17, 2026
DETM @ IUIN
80 - 77
Dec 3, 2025
IUIN @ DETM
78 - 92
Feb 19, 2025
IUIN @ DETM
80 - 71
Jan 9, 2025
DETM @ IUIN
61 - 95
Feb 14, 2024
IUIN @ DETM
66 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+11.6% more
Detroit Mercy: 37.0
vs
IU Indianapolis: 33.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.7%
Detroit Mercy: 79.2%
vs
IU Indianapolis: 70.5%
Blocks (L5)
+54.8% more
IU Indianapolis: 3.7
vs
Detroit Mercy: 1.7
Steals (L5)
+50.6% more
IU Indianapolis: 9.0
vs
Detroit Mercy: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IUIN Score
60.0
78
DETM Score
87.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.4 / 34.6
45.0 / 31.0
Assists
11.8 / 21.5
16.0 / 23.0
Blocks
1.7 / 3.7
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
41.0 / 45.5
48.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
79.2 / 70.5
88.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
37.0 / 33.2
43.0 / 35.0
Steals
4.5 / 9.0
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 13.4
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IUIN
--
DETM
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IUIN
--
DETM
Advantage
20-9-1
(69.0%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
IUIN
--
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DETM
IUIN
DETM
IUIN
ML
58%
18-13
69%
22-10
50%
15-15
78%
25-7
ATS
61%
19-12
66%
21-11
50%
15-15
78%
25-7
TTL
61%
19-12
50%
16-16
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
