Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rattlers @ Dolphins FAMU @ JAX

FLORIDA A&M

RATTLERSFAMU

0-4  |  Road

82
FINAL
Tue, Dec 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Swisher Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

JACKSONVILLE

DOLPHINSJAX

3-4  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
RATTLERS
100%
📊
DOLPHINS
0%
RATTLERS --
DOLPHINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
JACKSONVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Jacksonville)
RattlersFAMU (-3.5) 0 DolphinsJAX (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rattlers Cover

46.0%

Dolphins Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around JAX -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JAX)

FAMU By 1-7 points

24.3%

FAMU By 8-14 points

13.7%

JAX By 1-7 points

26.2%

JAX By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
67
FLORIDA A&M
68
JACKSONVILLE
Simulated Score
63
FLORIDA A&M
78
JACKSONVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dolphins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dolphins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dolphins (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Dolphins (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u138.5 Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 17, 2025 JAX @ FAMU 65 - 72
Dec 2, 2025 FAMU @ JAX 82 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5) +5.0%
Jacksonville: 42.3% vs Florida A&M: 37.3%
Free Throw % (L5) +3.7%
Jacksonville: 66.8% vs Florida A&M: 63.1%
Blocks (L5) +41.8% more
Florida A&M: 3.3 vs Jacksonville: 1.9
Turnovers (L5) +32.3% more
Florida A&M: 17.6 vs Jacksonville: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FAMU Score 67.0 82
JAX Score 68.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.5 / 29.2 39.0 / 62.0
Assists 10.5 / 11.8 13.0 / 15.0
Blocks 1.9 / 3.3 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 42.3 / 37.3 43.0 / 59.0
Free Throw % 66.8 / 63.1 68.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 32.0 / 31.0 37.0 / 31.0
Steals 6.1 / 8.4 10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 17.6 9.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAMU Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: +1.0
JAX
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAMU Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: +1.0
JAX
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
FAMU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1% Total +/-: -1.7
JAX
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JAX
FAMU
JAX
FAMU
ML
74% 23-8
55% 16-13
60% 18-12
71% 17-7
ATS
65% 20-11
48% 14-15
61% 19-12
71% 17-7
TTL
65% 20-11
76% 22-7
100% 31-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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