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ALCORN STATE

BRAVESALCN

1-9  |  Road

68
FINAL
Wed, Dec 3 • 8:00 PM ET
Hilton Coliseum
View Odds Details →

IOWA STATE

CYCLONESISU

8-0  |  Home

132
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
100%
📊
CYCLONES
0%
BRAVES --
CYCLONES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
117.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
IOWA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Iowa State)
BravesALCN (-3.5) 0 CyclonesISU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Braves Cover

9.7%

Cyclones Cover

90.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ISU -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ISU)

ALCN By 1-7 points

6.8%

ALCN By 8-14 points

1.7%

ISU By 1-7 points

18.6%

ISU By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
52
ALCORN STATE
65
IOWA STATE
Simulated Score
58
ALCORN STATE
85
IOWA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cyclones Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cyclones Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cyclones (+43.5) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Cyclones (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Loss
Proj Total: 117.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 3, 2025 ALCN @ ISU 68 - 132
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +105.2% more
Iowa State: 16.5 vs Alcorn State: 8.0
Steals (L5) +42.6% more
Iowa State: 10.6 vs Alcorn State: 7.4
Free Throw % (L5) +10.9%
Iowa State: 68.5% vs Alcorn State: 57.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +10.1%
Iowa State: 53.2% vs Alcorn State: 43.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ALCN Score 52.0 68
ISU Score 65.0 132
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.1 / 33.3 73.0 / 42.0
Assists 16.5 / 8.0 33.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.8 / 5.3 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 53.2 / 43.1 71.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 68.5 / 57.6 75.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 35.5 / 33.9 32.0 / 18.0
Steals 10.6 / 7.4 17.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 9.3 / 15.9 14.0 / 27.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
37%MONEY63%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ALCN
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -13.3 ATS +/-: -0.8
ISU Advantage
29-8-0 (78.4%)
Margin: 16.4 ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ALCN
17-14-1 (54.8%)
Margin: -13.3 ATS +/-: -0.8
ISU Advantage
22-14-1 (61.1%)
Margin: 16.4 ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ALCN
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.5
ISU
16-21-0
O: 43.2% / U: 56.8% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ISU
ALCN
ISU
ALCN
ML
57% 21-16
66% 21-11
76% 26-8
75% 18-6
ATS
62% 23-14
68% 21-10-1
76% 26-8
75% 18-6
TTL
54% 20-17
47% 15-17
100% 34-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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