WESTERN ILLINOIS
LEATHERNECKSWIU
2-6 | Road
57
DRAKE
BULLDOGSDRKE
5-3 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
LEATHERNECKS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
LEATHERNECKS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-72.0
DRAKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +72.0 points (Drake)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DRKE -72.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DRKE)
WIU By 1-7 points
0.0%
WIU By 8-14 points
0.0%
DRKE By 1-7 points
0.0%
DRKE By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Western Illinois
35
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Drake
107
DRAKE
Simulated Score
Western Illinois
65
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Drake
78
DRAKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+17.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -72.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
WIU @ DRKE
57 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+152.6% more
Drake: 3.4
vs
Western Illinois: 1.4
Assists (L5)
+67.9% more
Drake: 16.3
vs
Western Illinois: 9.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.4%
Drake: 72.3%
vs
Western Illinois: 59.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
Drake: 46.6%
vs
Western Illinois: 44.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WIU Score
35.0
57
DRKE Score
107.0
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.9 / 37.6
63.0 / 20.0
Assists
16.3 / 9.7
22.0 / 5.0
Blocks
3.4 / 1.4
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 44.6
70.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
72.3 / 59.0
92.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
37.4 / 36.6
33.0 / 21.0
Steals
4.8 / 5.7
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
8.1 / 12.0
8.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIU
5-26-0
(16.1%)
Margin: -11.9
ATS +/-: -5.3
DRKE
Advantage
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIU
Advantage
11-17-0
(39.3%)
Margin: -11.9
ATS +/-: -5.3
DRKE
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WIU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -0.1
DRKE
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DRKE
WIU
DRKE
WIU
ML
59%
20-14
45%
14-17
38%
13-21
61%
19-12
ATS
85%
29-5
52%
16-15
38%
13-21
61%
19-12
TTL
56%
19-15
45%
14-17
100%
34-0
100%
31-0
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