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WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

3-16  |  Road

102
FINAL
Tue, Dec 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

10-9  |  Home

121
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
📊
76ERS
0%
WIZARDS --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
199.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Philadelphia)
WizardsWSH (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wizards Cover

1.8%

76ers Cover

98.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

WSH By 1-7 points

1.4%

WSH By 8-14 points

0.2%

PHI By 1-7 points

6.8%

PHI By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
89
WASHINGTON
110
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
104
WASHINGTON
119
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI 76ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 76ers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI 76ers (-13.5) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim 76ers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u235.5 Win
Proj Total: 199.0
D
Sim u235.5 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 1, 2026 PHI @ WSH 153 - 131
Jan 7, 2026 WSH @ PHI 110 - 131
Dec 2, 2025 WSH @ PHI 102 - 121
Oct 28, 2025 PHI @ WSH 139 - 134
Apr 9, 2025 PHI @ WSH 122 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +24.8% more
Philadelphia: 10.7 vs Washington: 8.6
Turnovers (L5) +17.8% more
Philadelphia: 16.2 vs Washington: 13.7
Free Throw % (L5) +15.4%
Philadelphia: 85.2% vs Washington: 69.9%
Blocks (L5) +13.1% more
Philadelphia: 6.1 vs Washington: 5.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 89.0 102
PHI Score 110.0 121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.1 / 35.7 43.0 / 25.0
Assists 26.0 / 26.2 26.0 / 23.0
Blocks 6.1 / 5.4 6.0 / 11.0
Field Goal % 45.5 / 48.1 45.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 85.2 / 69.9 71.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 43.8 / 40.9 51.0 / 53.0
Steals 10.7 / 8.6 12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 16.2 / 13.7 11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
44%MONEY56%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
74%MONEY26%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
WSH
PHI
WSH
ML
63% 69-40
70% 112-49
48% 45-48
47% 39-44
ATS
65% 71-38
69% 111-49-1
48% 45-48
47% 39-44
TTL
55% 60-49
74% 119-41-1
100% 93-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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