NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
13-6 | Road
117
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
11-9 | Home
123
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
CELTICS
100%
KNICKS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
27.2%
NY By 8-14 points
23.0%
BOS By 1-7 points
18.6%
BOS By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
112
NEW YORK
Boston
107
BOSTON
Simulated Score
New York
105
NEW YORK
Boston
108
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (+1)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u230.0
Loss
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Sim
u230.0
Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
BOS @ NY
106 - 112
Feb 8, 2026
NY @ BOS
111 - 89
Dec 2, 2025
NY @ BOS
117 - 123
Oct 24, 2025
BOS @ NY
95 - 105
May 16, 2025
BOS @ NY
81 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+13.0% more
New York: 26.5
vs
Boston: 23.1
Rebounding (L5)
+9.4% more
New York: 48.9
vs
Boston: 44.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.2%
New York: 79.2%
vs
Boston: 75.0%
Blocks (L5)
+48.6% more
Boston: 5.5
vs
New York: 3.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
112.0
117
BOS Score
107.0
123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.3 / 38.8
32.0 / 43.0
Assists
23.1 / 26.5
18.0 / 29.0
Blocks
5.5 / 3.7
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.5 / 48.4
56.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
75.0 / 79.2
86.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
44.3 / 48.9
38.0 / 33.0
Steals
8.4 / 9.0
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 14.6
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
BOS
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
NY
BOS
NY
ML
57%
61-46
61%
114-72
53%
47-41
56%
57-45
ATS
59%
61-43-3
67%
124-62
53%
47-41
56%
57-45
TTL
56%
60-47
72%
133-53
100%
88-0
100%
102-0
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