Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Aggies @ Panthers TA&M @ PITT

TEXAS A&M

AGGIESTA&M

7-2  |  Road

81
FINAL
Tue, Dec 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Petersen Events Center
View Odds Details →

PITTSBURGH

PANTHERSPITT

5-4  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
AGGIES
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
AGGIES --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
84.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Pittsburgh)
AggiesTA&M (-3.5) 0 PanthersPITT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Aggies Cover

8.1%

Panthers Cover

91.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PITT -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PITT)

TA&M By 1-7 points

5.8%

TA&M By 8-14 points

1.4%

PITT By 1-7 points

16.9%

PITT By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
35
TEXAS A&M
49
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
71
TEXAS A&M
74
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 84.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 2, 2025 TA&M @ PITT 81 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +92.8% more
Pittsburgh: 3.7 vs Texas A&M: 1.9
Assists (L5) +53.3% more
Texas A&M: 22.2 vs Pittsburgh: 10.4
Steals (L5) +22.2% more
Texas A&M: 10.4 vs Pittsburgh: 8.1
Turnovers (L5) +19.7% more
Texas A&M: 12.9 vs Pittsburgh: 10.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TA&M Score 35.0 81
PITT Score 49.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.9 / 41.4 31.0 / 39.0
Assists 10.4 / 22.2 13.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.7 / 1.9 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 41.6 / 47.7 48.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 66.8 / 78.5 64.0 / 91.0
Rebounding 35.9 / 42.3 32.0 / 36.0
Steals 8.1 / 10.4 6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 12.9 11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TA&M Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
PITT
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TA&M Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
PITT
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
TA&M
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2% Total +/-: +2.0
PITT
17-15-1
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PITT
TA&M
PITT
TA&M
ML
58% 19-14
67% 20-10
45% 15-18
54% 15-13
ATS
64% 21-12
67% 20-10
45% 15-18
54% 15-13
TTL
61% 20-13
70% 21-9
100% 33-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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