Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Bulldogs EMU @ BUT

EASTERN MICHIGAN

EAGLESEMU

5-3  |  Road

68
FINAL
Tue, Dec 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Hinkle Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

BUTLER

BULLDOGSBUT

6-1  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
EAGLES --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
BUTLER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Butler)
EaglesEMU (-3.5) 0 BulldogsBUT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

0.8%

Bulldogs Cover

99.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BUT -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUT)

EMU By 1-7 points

0.6%

EMU By 8-14 points

0.1%

BUT By 1-7 points

4.0%

BUT By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
62
EASTERN MICHIGAN
86
BUTLER
Simulated Score
62
EASTERN MICHIGAN
78
BUTLER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 2, 2025 EMU @ BUT 68 - 84
Nov 6, 2023 EMU @ BUT 55 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +19.9% more
Butler: 42.1 vs Eastern Michigan: 35.1
Assists (L5) +18.8% more
Butler: 15.4 vs Eastern Michigan: 13.0
Field Goal % (L5) +6.1%
Butler: 51.3% vs Eastern Michigan: 45.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.9%
Butler: 38.1% vs Eastern Michigan: 33.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EMU Score 62.0 68
BUT Score 86.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.1 / 33.3 55.0 / 57.0
Assists 15.4 / 13.0 19.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.4 / 4.1 8.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 51.3 / 45.2 52.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 63.2 / 74.5 79.0 / 92.0
Rebounding 42.1 / 35.1 36.0 / 26.0
Steals 7.2 / 8.8 7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 13.7 10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
16%MONEY84%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
BUT Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EMU Advantage
20-10-0 (66.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
BUT
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -3.6
BUT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUT
EMU
BUT
EMU
ML
62% 20-12
65% 20-11
65% 20-11
70% 21-9
ATS
56% 18-14
65% 20-11
65% 20-11
70% 21-9
TTL
50% 16-16
71% 22-9
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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