NICHOLLS
COLONELSNICH
0-6 | Road
76
CREIGHTON
BLUEJAYSCREI
4-3 | Home
96
AI Model Win Probability
COLONELS
100%
BLUEJAYS
0%
COLONELS
--
BLUEJAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
CREIGHTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Creighton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CREI -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CREI)
NICH By 1-7 points
0.0%
NICH By 8-14 points
0.0%
CREI By 1-7 points
0.5%
CREI By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Nicholls
59
NICHOLLS
Creighton
92
CREIGHTON
Simulated Score
Nicholls
61
NICHOLLS
Creighton
83
CREIGHTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bluejays
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bluejays
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bluejays (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Bluejays (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
NICH @ CREI
76 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+16.2%
Creighton: 75.5%
vs
Nicholls: 59.4%
Assists (L5)
+13.8% more
Creighton: 15.8
vs
Nicholls: 13.9
Steals (L5)
+48.2% more
Nicholls: 9.9
vs
Creighton: 5.1
Turnovers (L5)
+18.5% more
Nicholls: 13.3
vs
Creighton: 10.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NICH Score
59.0
76
CREI Score
92.0
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.8 / 33.9
50.0 / 53.0
Assists
15.8 / 13.9
24.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.4 / 2.8
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.3 / 43.1
61.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
75.5 / 59.4
100.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
35.2 / 33.0
35.0 / 23.0
Steals
5.1 / 9.9
3.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 13.3
12.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NICH
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -2.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
CREI
Advantage
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NICH
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -2.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
CREI
11-22-1
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NICH
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +1.4
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CREI
NICH
CREI
NICH
ML
52%
17-16
53%
17-15
70%
21-9
68%
19-9
ATS
58%
19-14
47%
15-17
70%
21-9
68%
19-9
TTL
52%
17-16
56%
18-14
100%
30-0
100%
28-0
