Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Chippewas @ Ramblers CMU @ LUC

CENTRAL MICHIGAN

CHIPPEWASCMU

3-4  |  Road

72
FINAL
Tue, Dec 2 • 8:00 PM ET
Gentile Arena
View Odds Details →

LOYOLA CHICAGO

RAMBLERSLUC

1-7  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
CHIPPEWAS
100%
📊
RAMBLERS
0%
CHIPPEWAS --
RAMBLERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Loyola Chicago)
ChippewasCMU (-3.5) 0 RamblersLUC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chippewas Cover

11.5%

Ramblers Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LUC -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LUC)

CMU By 1-7 points

8.0%

CMU By 8-14 points

2.2%

LUC By 1-7 points

20.1%

LUC By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
65
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
77
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Simulated Score
60
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
75
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Ramblers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ramblers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Ramblers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Ramblers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 2, 2025 CMU @ LUC 72 - 83
Dec 30, 2023 CMU @ LUC 35 - 73
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.0%
Loyola Chicago: 35.7% vs Central Michigan: 28.6%
Steals (L5) +68.0% more
Central Michigan: 7.6 vs Loyola Chicago: 2.4
Assists (L5) +37.8% more
Central Michigan: 19.7 vs Loyola Chicago: 12.3
Rebounding (L5) +19.9% more
Central Michigan: 40.7 vs Loyola Chicago: 32.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CMU Score 65.0 72
LUC Score 77.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.7 / 28.6 29.0 / 36.0
Assists 12.3 / 19.7 16.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.2 / 4.4 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 41.5 / 50.2 50.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 63.5 / 69.6 70.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 32.6 / 40.7 34.0 / 27.0
Steals 2.4 / 7.6 6.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 14.9 / 15.1 8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
39%MONEY61%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
37%MONEY63%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CMU Advantage
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
LUC
9-24-0 (27.3%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CMU Advantage
15-13-1 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
LUC
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
⚖️ Over/Under
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2% Total +/-: +0.4
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6% Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LUC
CMU
LUC
CMU
ML
55% 18-15
57% 17-13
50% 16-16
70% 21-9
ATS
64% 21-12
67% 20-10
50% 16-16
70% 21-9
TTL
76% 25-8
67% 20-10
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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