WAGNER
SEAHAWKSWAG
1-5 | Road
63
MARYLAND
TERRAPINSMD
5-3 | Home
89
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
100%
TERRAPINS
0%
SEAHAWKS
--
TERRAPINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
MARYLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Maryland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MD -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MD)
WAG By 1-7 points
1.4%
WAG By 8-14 points
0.2%
MD By 1-7 points
6.8%
MD By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Wagner
67
WAGNER
Maryland
88
MARYLAND
Simulated Score
Wagner
53
WAGNER
Maryland
84
MARYLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Terrapins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Terrapins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Terrapins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Terrapins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
WAG @ MD
63 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.7%
Maryland: 71.2%
vs
Wagner: 66.5%
Blocks (L5)
+42.3% more
Wagner: 4.1
vs
Maryland: 2.4
Assists (L5)
+14.0% more
Wagner: 13.4
vs
Maryland: 11.5
Rebounding (L5)
+11.3% more
Wagner: 37.9
vs
Maryland: 33.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WAG Score
67.0
63
MD Score
88.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.3 / 41.5
25.0 / 26.0
Assists
11.5 / 13.4
12.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.4 / 4.1
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
39.5 / 47.3
41.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
71.2 / 66.5
71.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
33.6 / 37.9
48.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.1 / 5.7
10.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
13.6 / 14.3
8.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WAG
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-: +2.1
MD
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WAG
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-: +2.1
MD
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
WAG
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +4.4
MD
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MD
WAG
MD
WAG
ML
70%
23-10
63%
19-11
67%
22-11
57%
17-13
ATS
64%
21-12
60%
18-12
67%
22-11
57%
17-13
TTL
64%
21-12
53%
16-14
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
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