STETSON
HATTERSSTET
3-6 | Road
45
GRAND CANYON
LOPESGCU
4-3 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
HATTERS
100%
LOPES
0%
HATTERS
--
LOPES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
181.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
GRAND CANYON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Grand Canyon)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GCU -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GCU)
STET By 1-7 points
0.1%
STET By 8-14 points
0.0%
GCU By 1-7 points
1.4%
GCU By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Stetson
76
STETSON
Grand Canyon
105
GRAND CANYON
Simulated Score
Stetson
65
STETSON
Grand Canyon
78
GRAND CANYON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lopes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lopes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lopes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim
Lopes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 181.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
STET @ GCU
45 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+128.9% more
Grand Canyon: 3.6
vs
Stetson: 1.6
Turnovers (L5)
+13.6% more
Grand Canyon: 13.3
vs
Stetson: 11.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.8%
Grand Canyon: 76.9%
vs
Stetson: 71.1%
Assists (L5)
+8.2% more
Stetson: 11.8
vs
Grand Canyon: 10.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STET Score
76.0
45
GCU Score
105.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
23.7 / 30.3
21.0 / 25.0
Assists
10.8 / 11.8
10.0 / 6.0
Blocks
3.6 / 1.6
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
41.8 / 44.0
43.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
76.9 / 71.1
70.0 / 40.0
Rebounding
32.6 / 30.4
40.0 / 32.0
Steals
5.5 / 5.1
13.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 11.7
14.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STET
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
GCU
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 7.0
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STET
Advantage
18-13-0
(58.1%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
GCU
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 7.0
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
STET
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +1.6
GCU
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GCU
STET
GCU
STET
ML
66%
21-11
55%
18-15
68%
21-10
73%
24-9
ATS
72%
23-9
64%
21-12
68%
21-10
73%
24-9
TTL
44%
14-18
61%
20-13
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
