Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Billikens @ Lions SLU @ LMU

SAINT LOUIS

BILLIKENSSLU

6-1  |  Road

91
FINAL
Tue, Dec 2 • 10:00 PM ET
Gersten Pavilion
View Odds Details →

LOYOLA MARYMOUNT

LIONSLMU

7-2  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
BILLIKENS
100%
📊
LIONS
0%
BILLIKENS --
LIONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Loyola Marymount)
BillikensSLU (-3.5) 0 LionsLMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Billikens Cover

6.7%

Lions Cover

93.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LMU -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LMU)

SLU By 1-7 points

4.8%

SLU By 8-14 points

1.1%

LMU By 1-7 points

15.3%

LMU By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
71
SAINT LOUIS
86
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Simulated Score
70
SAINT LOUIS
73
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lions Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lions Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lions (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Lions (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 2, 2025 SLU @ LMU 91 - 70
Nov 16, 2024 LMU @ SLU 71 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +47.3% more
Loyola Marymount: 4.4 vs Saint Louis: 3.0
Assists (L5) +25.1% more
Saint Louis: 15.7 vs Loyola Marymount: 11.7
Free Throw % (L5) +10.9%
Saint Louis: 82.1% vs Loyola Marymount: 71.2%
Rebounding (L5) +8.7% more
Saint Louis: 42.0 vs Loyola Marymount: 38.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SLU Score 71.0 91
LMU Score 86.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.6 / 32.1 22.0 / 31.0
Assists 11.7 / 15.7 13.0 / 24.0
Blocks 4.4 / 3.0 3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 42.2 / 45.6 41.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 71.2 / 82.1 71.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 38.3 / 42.0 27.0 / 47.0
Steals 6.7 / 6.6 11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 13.8 / 13.4 14.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
81%MONEY19%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
45%MONEY55%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SLU Advantage
29-6-0 (82.9%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
LMU
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SLU Advantage
19-13-2 (59.4%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
LMU
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1% Total +/-: -0.3
LMU
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LMU
SLU
LMU
SLU
ML
53% 17-15
70% 23-10
50% 16-16
68% 21-10
ATS
47% 15-17
73% 24-9
50% 16-16
68% 21-10
TTL
62% 20-12
61% 20-13
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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