Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Revolutionaries @ Black Knights GW @ ARMY

GEORGE WASHINGTON

REVOLUTIONARIESGW

7-2  |  Road

84
FINAL
Tue, Dec 2 • 11:00 AM ET
Christl Arena
View Odds Details →

ARMY

BLACK KNIGHTSARMY

3-7  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
REVOLUTIONARIES
0%
📊
BLACK KNIGHTS
100%
REVOLUTIONARIES --
BLACK KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (George Washington)
RevolutionariesGW (-3.5) 0 Black KnightsARMY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Revolutionaries Cover

100.0%

Black Knights Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GW -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GW)

GW By 1-7 points

0.5%

GW By 8-14 points

2.7%

ARMY By 1-7 points

0.0%

ARMY By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
93
GEORGE WASHINGTON
60
ARMY
Simulated Score
68
GEORGE WASHINGTON
72
ARMY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Revolutionaries Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Black Knights Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Revolutionaries (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim Black Knights (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 2, 2025 GW @ ARMY 84 - 70
Dec 13, 2024 ARMY @ GW 60 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +59.8% more
George Washington: 2.9 vs Army: 1.2
Steals (L5) +24.9% more
George Washington: 6.8 vs Army: 5.1
Field Goal % (L5) +10.3%
George Washington: 51.8% vs Army: 41.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.1%
George Washington: 40.8% vs Army: 35.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GW Score 93.0 84
ARMY Score 60.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.6 / 40.8 41.0 / 29.0
Assists 14.2 / 15.1 20.0 / 12.0
Blocks 1.2 / 2.9 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 41.5 / 51.8 44.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 81.3 / 76.4 67.0 / 84.0
Rebounding 37.5 / 33.9 25.0 / 40.0
Steals 5.1 / 6.8 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 11.5 11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
52%MONEY48%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GW Advantage
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
ARMY
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GW Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
ARMY
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.4
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARMY
GW
ARMY
GW
ML
44% 14-18
63% 22-13
50% 16-16
60% 21-14
ATS
44% 14-18
69% 24-11
50% 16-16
60% 21-14
TTL
81% 26-6
60% 21-14
100% 32-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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