CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
BUCCANEERSCHSO
5-4 | Road
56
UT MARTIN
SKYHAWKSUTM
5-2 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
BUCCANEERS
0%
SKYHAWKS
100%
BUCCANEERS
--
SKYHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
99.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Charleston Southern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHSO -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHSO)
CHSO By 1-7 points
26.2%
CHSO By 8-14 points
25.3%
UTM By 1-7 points
15.3%
UTM By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Charleston Southern
53
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
UT Martin
46
UT MARTIN
Simulated Score
Charleston Southern
70
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
UT Martin
75
UT MARTIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Buccaneers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Skyhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Buccaneers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Skyhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 99.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
CHSO @ UTM
56 - 73
Dec 3, 2024
UTM @ CHSO
68 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.2%
Charleston Southern: 67.8%
vs
UT Martin: 62.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.4%
Charleston Southern: 32.9%
vs
UT Martin: 29.5%
Steals (L5)
+132.1% more
UT Martin: 7.7
vs
Charleston Southern: 3.3
Turnovers (L5)
+27.3% more
UT Martin: 16.6
vs
Charleston Southern: 13.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHSO Score
53.0
56
UTM Score
46.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.5 / 32.9
24.0 / 24.0
Assists
15.4 / 16.6
10.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.5 / 4.8
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 42.1
32.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
62.5 / 67.8
78.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
43.9 / 44.0
47.0 / 40.0
Steals
7.7 / 3.3
10.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
16.6 / 13.0
8.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHSO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
UTM
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHSO
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
UTM
Advantage
15-14-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5%
Total +/-: +4.6
UTM
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0%
Total +/-: -8.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTM
CHSO
UTM
CHSO
ML
69%
22-10
43%
13-17
69%
20-9
67%
20-10
ATS
56%
18-14
50%
15-15
69%
20-9
68%
21-10
TTL
44%
14-18
50%
15-15
100%
29-0
100%
31-0
