Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Spartans @ Bulldogs UNCG @ UNCA

UNC GREENSBORO

SPARTANSUNCG

1-7  |  Road

77
FINAL
Tue, Dec 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Harrah's Cherokee Center
View Odds Details →

UNC ASHEVILLE

BULLDOGSUNCA

3-4  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
0%
📊
BULLDOGS
100%
SPARTANS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
UNC GREENSBORO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (UNC Greensboro)
SpartansUNCG (-3.5) 0 BulldogsUNCA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Spartans Cover

84.1%

Bulldogs Cover

15.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNCG -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCG)

UNCG By 1-7 points

23.0%

UNCG By 8-14 points

27.2%

UNCA By 1-7 points

10.7%

UNCA By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
78
UNC GREENSBORO
68
UNC ASHEVILLE
Simulated Score
71
UNC GREENSBORO
74
UNC ASHEVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Spartans Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Spartans (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 2, 2025 UNCG @ UNCA 77 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +2.1%
UNC Greensboro: 73.0% vs UNC Asheville: 70.8%
Blocks (L5) +115.8% more
UNC Asheville: 2.5 vs UNC Greensboro: 1.1
Assists (L5) +50.9% more
UNC Asheville: 11.4 vs UNC Greensboro: 7.5
Steals (L5) +28.8% more
UNC Asheville: 6.7 vs UNC Greensboro: 5.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNCG Score 78.0 77
UNCA Score 68.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.2 / 30.0 50.0 / 43.0
Assists 11.4 / 7.5 9.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.5 / 1.1 0.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 48.6 / 40.8 52.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 70.8 / 73.0 71.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 33.4 / 35.0 26.0 / 27.0
Steals 6.7 / 5.2 6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 14.9 / 13.1 8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
30%MONEY70%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNCG
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: -1.9 ATS +/-: -1.0
UNCA Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNCG
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.9 ATS +/-: -1.0
UNCA Advantage
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UNCG
22-10-0
O: 68.8% / U: 31.3% Total +/-: +7.9
UNCA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCA
UNCG
UNCA
UNCG
ML
53% 16-14
38% 13-21
63% 19-11
71% 24-10
ATS
57% 17-13
44% 15-19
63% 19-11
71% 24-10
TTL
60% 18-12
76% 26-8
100% 30-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Nick Saban Declares Georgia the Most Complete Team in College Fo…
si 5 days, 12 hours ago
Kirby Smart Stays Silent on Nate Frazier's Injury Status as Geor…
si 1 week, 3 days ago
Georgia Bulldogs Set to Clash with Oklahoma Sooners as Heavy Fav…
si 2 weeks, 2 days ago
Michigan State Lands Five-Star Point Guard Antonio Pemberton: Wh…
yahoo 2 weeks, 5 days ago
Georgia Bulldogs Release Availability Report for SEC Opener at A…
headtopics 3 weeks ago