HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
HUSKIESHCU
4-3 | Road
75
NORTH TEXAS
MEAN GREENUNT
6-2 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
MEAN GREEN
0%
HUSKIES
--
MEAN GREEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
114.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
NORTH TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (North Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNT -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNT)
HCU By 1-7 points
1.1%
HCU By 8-14 points
0.1%
UNT By 1-7 points
5.8%
UNT By 8-14 points
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston Christian
46
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
North Texas
68
NORTH TEXAS
Simulated Score
Houston Christian
60
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
North Texas
75
NORTH TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mean Green
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mean Green
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mean Green (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Mean Green (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 114.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
HCU @ UNT
75 - 77
Dec 22, 2024
HCU @ UNT
46 - 62
Dec 17, 2020
HCU @ UNT
55 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+50.8% more
North Texas: 9.1
vs
Houston Christian: 6.0
Blocks (L5)
+33.3% more
North Texas: 4.3
vs
Houston Christian: 3.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.5%
North Texas: 72.9%
vs
Houston Christian: 61.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+9.7% more
North Texas: 13.7
vs
Houston Christian: 12.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HCU Score
46.0
75
UNT Score
68.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 31.2
59.0 / 40.0
Assists
14.2 / 12.9
19.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.3 / 3.2
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 46.0
62.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
72.9 / 61.4
47.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
36.1 / 33.4
35.0 / 24.0
Steals
9.1 / 6.0
2.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 12.5
15.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HCU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
UNT
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HCU
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
UNT
Advantage
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.1
UNT
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNT
HCU
UNT
HCU
ML
70%
23-10
68%
21-10
59%
19-13
81%
25-6
ATS
52%
17-16
58%
18-13
59%
19-13
81%
26-6
TTL
67%
22-11
68%
21-10
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
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