VIRGINIA-LYNCHBURG
DRAGONSUVAL
0-0 | Road
62
WESTERN CAROLINA
CATAMOUNTSWCU
3-4 | Home
124
AI Model Win Probability
DRAGONS
100%
CATAMOUNTS
0%
DRAGONS
--
CATAMOUNTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
178.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-64.0
WESTERN CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +64.0 points (Western Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WCU -64.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WCU)
UVAL By 1-7 points
0.0%
UVAL By 8-14 points
0.0%
WCU By 1-7 points
0.0%
WCU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Virginia-Lynchburg
57
VIRGINIA-LYNCHBURG
Western Carolina
121
WESTERN CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Virginia-Lynchburg
57
VIRGINIA-LYNCHBURG
Western Carolina
93
WESTERN CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Catamounts
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts (+3)
Win
Proj Spread: -64.0
D
Sim
Catamounts (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o149.5
Win
Proj Total: 178.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
UVAL @ WCU
62 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+212.0% more
Western Carolina: 2.8
vs
Virginia-Lynchburg: 0.7
Rebounding (L5)
+45.7% more
Western Carolina: 35.8
vs
Virginia-Lynchburg: 24.6
Steals (L5)
+30.9% more
Western Carolina: 7.2
vs
Virginia-Lynchburg: 5.5
Assists (L5)
+17.1% more
Western Carolina: 13.0
vs
Virginia-Lynchburg: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UVAL Score
57.0
62
WCU Score
121.0
124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.5 / 29.9
32.0 / 25.0
Assists
13.0 / 11.1
33.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.8 / 0.7
10.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 33.9
55.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
66.2 / 75.5
50.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
35.8 / 24.6
64.0 / 24.0
Steals
7.2 / 5.5
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
15.9 / 16.8
7.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVAL
--
WCU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVAL
--
WCU
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
UVAL
--
WCU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WCU
UVAL
WCU
UVAL
ML
63%
19-11
78%
7-2
76%
22-7
100%
9-0
ATS
73%
22-8
78%
7-2
77%
23-7
100%
9-0
TTL
67%
20-10
44%
4-5
100%
30-0
100%
9-0
Contextual Game News
