AI Model Win Probability
SOONERS
0%
DEMON DEACONS
100%
SOONERS
--
DEMON DEACONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Oklahoma)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OU -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)
OU By 1-7 points
26.2%
OU By 8-14 points
25.3%
WAKE By 1-7 points
15.3%
WAKE By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Oklahoma
83
OKLAHOMA
Wake Forest
76
WAKE FOREST
Simulated Score
Oklahoma
71
OKLAHOMA
Wake Forest
74
WAKE FOREST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sooners
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Demon Deacons
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Sooners (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Demon Deacons (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
OU @ WAKE
86 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+20.1% more
Oklahoma: 4.3
vs
Wake Forest: 3.5
Turnovers (L5)
+58.9% more
Wake Forest: 12.5
vs
Oklahoma: 7.9
Steals (L5)
+54.4% more
Wake Forest: 9.7
vs
Oklahoma: 6.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
Wake Forest: 49.7%
vs
Oklahoma: 45.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OU Score
83.0
86
WAKE Score
76.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 35.2
27.0 / 32.0
Assists
15.9 / 15.9
12.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.5 / 4.3
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
49.7 / 45.1
34.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
76.0 / 72.3
81.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
37.7 / 36.9
24.0 / 42.0
Steals
9.7 / 6.3
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 7.9
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OU
Advantage
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
WAKE
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OU
Advantage
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
WAKE
16-18-1
(47.1%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +1.8
WAKE
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAKE
OU
WAKE
OU
ML
49%
17-18
78%
28-8
61%
20-13
59%
20-14
ATS
66%
23-12
72%
26-10
61%
20-13
59%
20-14
TTL
60%
21-14
75%
27-9
100%
33-0
100%
34-0