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VIRGINIA TECH

HOKIESVT

7-2  |  Road

86
FINAL
Tue, Dec 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Colonial Life Arena
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA

GAMECOCKSSC

5-3  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
HOKIES
0%
📊
GAMECOCKS
100%
HOKIES --
GAMECOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Virginia Tech)
HokiesVT (-3.5) 0 GamecocksSC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hokies Cover

69.1%

Gamecocks Cover

30.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VT -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VT)

VT By 1-7 points

27.2%

VT By 8-14 points

23.0%

SC By 1-7 points

18.6%

SC By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
86
VIRGINIA TECH
81
SOUTH CAROLINA
Simulated Score
70
VIRGINIA TECH
74
SOUTH CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hokies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gamecocks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hokies (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Gamecocks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 2, 2025 VT @ SC 86 - 83
Nov 27, 2024 SC @ VT 70 - 60
Nov 10, 2023 VT @ SC 77 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +27.1% more
Virginia Tech: 8.1 vs South Carolina: 5.9
Blocks (L5) +26.9% more
Virginia Tech: 3.1 vs South Carolina: 2.3
Turnovers (L5) +25.4% more
Virginia Tech: 10.3 vs South Carolina: 7.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.9%
Virginia Tech: 34.0% vs South Carolina: 27.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VT Score 86.0 86
SC Score 81.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.1 / 34.0 28.0 / 30.0
Assists 14.0 / 13.2 11.0 / 18.0
Blocks 2.3 / 3.1 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 42.1 45.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 74.9 / 69.3 75.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 34.7 / 32.7 28.0 / 37.0
Steals 5.9 / 8.1 4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 7.7 / 10.3 8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
20%MONEY80%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VT Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
SC
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VT Advantage
17-14-1 (54.8%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
SC
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
VT
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +3.6
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
VT
SC
VT
ML
72% 23-9
53% 17-15
68% 21-10
72% 23-9
ATS
69% 22-10
59% 19-13
68% 21-10
72% 23-9
TTL
50% 16-16
69% 22-10
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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