Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hurricanes @ Rebels MIA @ MISS

MIAMI

HURRICANESMIA

6-2  |  Road

75
FINAL
Tue, Dec 2 • 9:00 PM ET
The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss
View Odds Details →

OLE MISS

REBELSMISS

5-2  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
📊
REBELS
0%
HURRICANES --
REBELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
OLE MISS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Ole Miss)
HurricanesMIA (-3.5) 0 RebelsMISS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

15.9%

Rebels Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MISS -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MISS)

MIA By 1-7 points

10.7%

MIA By 8-14 points

3.3%

MISS By 1-7 points

23.0%

MISS By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
66
MIAMI
76
OLE MISS
Simulated Score
75
MIAMI
78
OLE MISS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rebels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rebels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rebels (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Rebels (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 2, 2025 MIA @ MISS 75 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +89.8% more
Ole Miss: 5.8 vs Miami: 3.0
Free Throw % (L5) +15.9%
Ole Miss: 78.6% vs Miami: 62.7%
Steals (L5) +31.1% more
Miami: 8.5 vs Ole Miss: 5.9
Assists (L5) +13.2% more
Miami: 16.5 vs Ole Miss: 14.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIA Score 66.0 75
MISS Score 76.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.5 / 41.7 42.0 / 44.0
Assists 14.3 / 16.5 16.0 / 15.0
Blocks 5.8 / 3.0 10.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 47.2 / 51.7 35.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 78.6 / 62.7 82.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 34.1 / 37.8 29.0 / 45.0
Steals 5.9 / 8.5 10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 11.9 11.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIA Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
MISS
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIA Advantage
18-15-1 (54.6%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
MISS
--
⚖️ Over/Under
MIA
21-12-1
O: 63.6% / U: 36.4% Total +/-: +0.4
MISS
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MISS
MIA
MISS
MIA
ML
48% 16-17
63% 22-13
52% 17-16
64% 21-12
ATS
61% 20-13
63% 22-13
52% 17-16
64% 21-12
TTL
64% 21-12
63% 22-13
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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