Home / NHL Projections NHL / Bruins @ Red Wings BOS @ DET

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

15-12-0  |  Road

4
FINAL
Tue, Dec 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

RED WINGSDET

13-11-2  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
@
John Gibson
GOALTENDER

John Gibson

#36 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jeremy Swayman None-None 6.83 0.783 --
John Gibson None-None 4.00 0.895 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
6.83 GAA Ldr 4.00
0.783 Save % Ldr 0.895
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
📊
RED WINGS
0%
BRUINS --
RED WINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Detroit)
BruinsBOS (-3.5) 0 Red WingsDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

30.9%

Red Wings Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DET -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

BOS By 1 goal

12.1%

BOS By 2-3 goals

9.3%

DET By 1 goal

19.7%

DET By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
BOSTON
4
DETROIT
Simulated Score
2
BOSTON
4
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Red Wings Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Wings Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Red Wings (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Red Wings (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 21, 2026 BOS @ DET 4 - 2
Jan 13, 2026 DET @ BOS 0 - 3
Dec 2, 2025 BOS @ DET 4 - 5
Nov 29, 2025 DET @ BOS 2 - 3
Mar 29, 2025 BOS @ DET 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +37.8% more
Detroit: 31.3 vs Boston: 22.7
Faceoff % (L5) +4.8%
Detroit: 52.4% vs Boston: 47.6%
Hits (L5) +25.8% more
Boston: 27.2 vs Detroit: 20.2
Power Play % (L5) +10.6%
Boston: 24.0% vs Detroit: 13.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 3.0 4
DET Score 4.0 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.3 / 14.2 20.0 / 15.0
Faceoff % 52.4 / 47.6 51.7 / 48.3
Hits 20.2 / 27.2 18.0 / 27.0
Power Play % 13.4 / 24.0 33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 31.3 / 22.7 32.0 / 38.0
Takeaways 4.1 / 4.4 5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
66%MONEY34%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
89%MONEY11%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
BOS
DET
BOS
ML
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
TTL
0% 0-3
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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