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BYU

BYUBYU

11-1  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 12:00 PM ET
AT&T Stadium
View Odds Details →

TEXAS TECH

TEXAS TECHTTU

11-1  |  Home

34
Key Game
Viliami Po'uha
KEY GAME

Viliami Po'uha

#45 | Defensive Tackle
@
Stone Harrington
KEY GAME

Stone Harrington

#48 | Place kicker
Player
Viliami Po'uha None-None
Stone Harrington None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BYU
100%
📊
TEXAS TECH
0%
BYU --
TEXAS TECH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
44.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
TEXAS TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Texas Tech)
BYUBYU (-3.5) 0 Texas TechTTU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

BYU Cover

9.9%

Texas Tech Cover

90.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around TTU -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TTU)

BYU By 1-6 points

5.3%

BYU By 7-13 points

2.8%

TTU By 1-6 points

10.0%

TTU By 7-13 points

16.8%

AI Model Projected Score
13
BYU
31
TEXAS TECH
Simulated Score
23
BYU
27
TEXAS TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Texas Tech Win
0% Win Prob
B
Sim Texas Tech Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Texas Tech (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
B
Sim Texas Tech (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
B
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 50.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 BYU @ TTU 7 - 34
Nov 8, 2025 BYU @ TTU 7 - 29
Oct 21, 2023 TTU @ BYU 14 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +57.0% more
Texas Tech: 1.2 vs BYU: 0.6
Total Yards (L5) +21.9% more
Texas Tech: 482.3 vs BYU: 395.7
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +14.0% more
Texas Tech: 0.6 vs BYU: 0.4
First Downs (L5) +13.6% more
Texas Tech: 25.0 vs BYU: 22.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BYU Score 13.0 7
TTU Score 31.0 34
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 25.0 / 22.0 19.0 / 14.0
Rushing Yards 181.4 / 161.8 159.0 / 63.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.6 / 0.4 0.42 / 0.43
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.6 0.53 / 0.47
Total Yards 482.3 / 395.7 374.0 / 200.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 0.6 0.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
38%MONEY62%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BYU
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 23.0 ATS +/-: +2.8
TTU
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 18.6 ATS +/-: -6.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BYU Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 23.0 ATS +/-: +2.8
TTU
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 18.6 ATS +/-: -6.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BYU
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.8
TTU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TTU
BYU
TTU
BYU
ML
100% 5-0
100% 3-0
100% 5-0
75% 3-1
ATS
80% 4-1
67% 2-1
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
TTL
80% 4-1
0% 0-3
40% 2-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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