TENNESSEE
VOLUNTEERSTENN
7-2 | Road
60
SYRACUSE
ORANGESYR
5-3 | Home
62
AI Model Win Probability
VOLUNTEERS
0%
ORANGE
100%
VOLUNTEERS
--
ORANGE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
TENNESSEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (Tennessee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TENN -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TENN)
TENN By 1-7 points
0.2%
TENN By 8-14 points
1.4%
SYR By 1-7 points
0.0%
SYR By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Tennessee
93
TENNESSEE
Syracuse
57
SYRACUSE
Simulated Score
Tennessee
75
TENNESSEE
Syracuse
68
SYRACUSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Volunteers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Volunteers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Volunteers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim
Volunteers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
TENN @ SYR
60 - 62
Dec 3, 2024
SYR @ TENN
70 - 96
Nov 20, 2023
TENN @ SYR
73 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+18.5%
Tennessee: 77.2%
vs
Syracuse: 58.7%
Steals (L5)
+18.2% more
Tennessee: 8.0
vs
Syracuse: 6.5
Assists (L5)
+17.0% more
Tennessee: 16.6
vs
Syracuse: 13.8
Rebounding (L5)
+11.5% more
Tennessee: 38.4
vs
Syracuse: 34.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TENN Score
93.0
60
SYR Score
57.0
62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.1 / 32.9
26.0 / 31.0
Assists
13.8 / 16.6
7.0 / 16.0
Blocks
4.7 / 3.7
8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.4 / 45.8
43.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
58.7 / 77.2
59.0 / 53.0
Rebounding
34.0 / 38.4
33.0 / 38.0
Steals
6.5 / 8.0
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 10.4
16.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TENN
Advantage
25-12-0
(67.6%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
SYR
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TENN
Advantage
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
SYR
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
TENN
18-19-0
O: 48.7% / U: 51.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
SYR
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SYR
TENN
SYR
TENN
ML
78%
25-7
46%
17-20
69%
22-10
64%
21-12
ATS
69%
22-10
54%
20-17
69%
22-10
64%
21-12
TTL
66%
21-11
76%
28-9
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
Aiden Tobiason Brings Sharpshooting and Playmaking to Syracuse B…
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
Kansas Jayhawks Set Program Record with 706 Yards, Blank Middle …
Tyler Lundblade's Road to Recovery: Tennessee Basketball Transfe…