FLORIDA
GATORSFLA
5-2 | Road
66
DUKE
BLUE DEVILSDUKE
8-0 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
GATORS
100%
BLUE DEVILS
0%
GATORS
--
BLUE DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
DUKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Duke)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DUKE -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUKE)
FLA By 1-7 points
2.2%
FLA By 8-14 points
0.4%
DUKE By 1-7 points
9.3%
DUKE By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
57
FLORIDA
Duke
76
DUKE
Simulated Score
Florida
72
FLORIDA
Duke
78
DUKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Devils
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Devils
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Devils (+9)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Blue Devils (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u157.0
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u157.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
FLA @ DUKE
66 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+59.3% more
Duke: 6.8
vs
Florida: 4.3
Assists (L5)
+20.6% more
Duke: 19.6
vs
Florida: 16.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.9%
Duke: 53.3%
vs
Florida: 43.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
Duke: 35.9%
vs
Florida: 31.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
57.0
66
DUKE Score
76.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.9 / 31.6
27.0 / 25.0
Assists
19.6 / 16.2
13.0 / 4.0
Blocks
3.3 / 4.4
11.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
53.3 / 43.5
45.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
69.6 / 77.0
63.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
40.7 / 43.8
33.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.8 / 4.3
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 13.3
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FLA
27-8-0
(77.1%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
DUKE
Advantage
35-3-0
(92.1%)
Margin: 18.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FLA
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 15.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
DUKE
Advantage
20-18-0
(52.6%)
Margin: 18.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
FLA
14-20-1
O: 41.2% / U: 58.8%
Total +/-: -1.9
DUKE
14-24-0
O: 36.8% / U: 63.2%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUKE
FLA
DUKE
FLA
ML
71%
27-11
77%
27-8
73%
24-9
63%
22-13
ATS
79%
30-8
69%
24-11
73%
24-9
63%
22-13
TTL
47%
18-20
63%
22-13
100%
33-0
100%
35-0
Contextual Game News
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