UCONN
HUSKIESCONN
7-1 | Road
61
KANSAS
JAYHAWKSKU
6-3 | Home
56
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
JAYHAWKS
0%
HUSKIES
--
JAYHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
KANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Kansas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KU -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KU)
CONN By 1-7 points
0.8%
CONN By 8-14 points
0.1%
KU By 1-7 points
4.8%
KU By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
UConn
73
UCONN
Kansas
96
KANSAS
Simulated Score
UConn
76
UCONN
Kansas
78
KANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jayhawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jayhawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jayhawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
Jayhawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
CONN @ KU
61 - 56
Dec 1, 2023
CONN @ KU
65 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+27.1% more
Kansas: 6.4
vs
UConn: 5.0
Turnovers (L5)
+21.9% more
Kansas: 11.2
vs
UConn: 9.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.0%
Kansas: 80.6%
vs
UConn: 69.6%
Rebounding (L5)
+8.8% more
Kansas: 40.6
vs
UConn: 37.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CONN Score
73.0
61
KU Score
96.0
56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.8 / 32.9
28.0 / 27.0
Assists
14.0 / 18.2
8.0 / 12.0
Blocks
6.4 / 5.0
5.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
44.6 / 45.0
35.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
80.6 / 69.6
71.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
40.6 / 37.3
32.0 / 38.0
Steals
3.5 / 8.1
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 9.2
10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CONN
Advantage
34-6-0
(85.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
KU
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CONN
18-22-0
(45.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
KU
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5%
Total +/-: -1.5
KU
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KU
CONN
KU
CONN
ML
57%
20-15
76%
29-9
68%
21-10
66%
23-12
ATS
49%
17-18
74%
28-10
68%
21-10
66%
23-12
TTL
60%
21-14
50%
19-19
100%
31-0
100%
35-0
Contextual Game News
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