Home / NBA Projections NBA / Cavaliers @ Pacers CLE @ IND

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

12-9  |  Road

135
FINAL
Mon, Dec 1 • 7:00 PM ET
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

INDIANA

PACERSIND

4-16  |  Home

119
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
100%
📊
PACERS
0%
CAVALIERS --
PACERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
251.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Indiana)
CavaliersCLE (-3.5) 0 PacersIND (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cavaliers Cover

46.0%

Pacers Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IND -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)

CLE By 1-7 points

24.3%

CLE By 8-14 points

13.7%

IND By 1-7 points

26.2%

IND By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
125
CLEVELAND
126
INDIANA
Simulated Score
112
CLEVELAND
118
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pacers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pacers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pacers (+5) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Pacers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o232.0 Win
Proj Total: 251.0
D
Sim u232.0 Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 5, 2026 IND @ CLE 108 - 117
Jan 6, 2026 CLE @ IND 120 - 116
Dec 1, 2025 CLE @ IND 135 - 119
Nov 21, 2025 IND @ CLE 109 - 120
May 13, 2025 IND @ CLE 114 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +98.7% more
Indiana: 7.7 vs Cleveland: 3.9
Assists (L5) +12.7% more
Cleveland: 27.5 vs Indiana: 24.0
Free Throw % (L5) +3.9%
Cleveland: 78.5% vs Indiana: 74.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.8%
Cleveland: 37.4% vs Indiana: 34.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 125.0 135
IND Score 126.0 119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.6 / 37.4 33.0 / 35.0
Assists 24.0 / 27.5 19.0 / 27.0
Blocks 7.7 / 3.9 6.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 47.0 / 46.1 48.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 74.5 / 78.5 73.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 43.5 / 43.6 36.0 / 48.0
Steals 8.2 / 8.1 5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.8 / 14.4 14.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
77%MONEY23%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE Advantage
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
IND
19-63-0 (23.2%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
IND Advantage
40-42-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IND
CLE
IND
CLE
ML
48% 47-50
60% 69-46
54% 45-38
56% 55-44
ATS
59% 57-40
67% 75-37-3
54% 45-38
56% 55-44
TTL
54% 52-45
59% 68-47
100% 83-0
100% 99-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Haliburton Returns to Hilton Coliseum as Pacers Defeat Timberwol…
kcci 18 hours, 9 minutes ago
JJ Redick Sets Record Straight on Lakers 'Pieces Fit' Comment Af…
bleacherreport 1 day, 5 hours ago
Cavs 2026-27 Viewing Guide: DAZN, National TV, and Free Over-the…
yahoo 1 day, 11 hours ago
Stephen A. Smith Sounds Alarm: James Dolan Could Derail Knicks' …
yahoo 2 days, 5 hours ago
From Diamond to Broadcast Booth: Detroit's Legacy of Great Athle…
freep 2 days, 12 hours ago