AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
MAGIC
0%
BULLS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
210.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
CHI By 1-7 points
5.8%
CHI By 8-14 points
1.4%
ORL By 1-7 points
16.9%
ORL By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
98
CHICAGO
Orlando
112
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Chicago
107
CHICAGO
Orlando
112
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (-9)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u239.0
Loss
Proj Total: 210.0
D
Sim
u239.0
Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
ORL @ CHI
127 - 103
Jan 2, 2026
ORL @ CHI
114 - 121
Dec 1, 2025
CHI @ ORL
120 - 125
Oct 25, 2025
CHI @ ORL
110 - 98
Mar 6, 2025
CHI @ ORL
125 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+72.7% more
Orlando: 10.3
vs
Chicago: 5.9
Blocks (L5)
+26.9% more
Orlando: 5.0
vs
Chicago: 3.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.9%
Orlando: 83.4%
vs
Chicago: 70.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
Chicago: 34.2%
vs
Orlando: 31.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
98.0
120
ORL Score
112.0
125
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.7 / 34.2
27.0 / 43.0
Assists
26.1 / 27.6
25.0 / 30.0
Blocks
5.0 / 3.9
11.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 46.2
51.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
83.4 / 70.5
79.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
44.2 / 43.6
46.0 / 43.0
Steals
10.3 / 5.9
12.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 13.4
18.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
CHI
ORL
CHI
ML
61%
65-42
56%
54-42
56%
51-40
57%
46-35
ATS
64%
68-38-1
65%
62-33-1
56%
51-40
57%
46-35
TTL
57%
61-46
58%
56-40
100%
91-0
100%
81-0