CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
6-14 | Road
103
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
3-16 | Home
116
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
0%
NETS
100%
HORNETS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHA -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
CHA By 1-7 points
8.0%
CHA By 8-14 points
18.6%
BKN By 1-7 points
1.7%
BKN By 8-14 points
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
125
CHARLOTTE
Brooklyn
105
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Charlotte
108
CHARLOTTE
Brooklyn
115
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hornets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hornets (+4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o228.0
Loss
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Sim
u228.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 31, 2026
CHA @ BKN
117 - 86
Dec 1, 2025
CHA @ BKN
103 - 116
Oct 22, 2025
BKN @ CHA
117 - 136
Mar 8, 2025
BKN @ CHA
102 - 105
Feb 10, 2025
CHA @ BKN
89 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+29.1% more
Charlotte: 7.2
vs
Brooklyn: 5.1
Blocks (L5)
+19.2% more
Charlotte: 5.3
vs
Brooklyn: 4.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.1%
Charlotte: 85.2%
vs
Brooklyn: 74.0%
Rebounding (L5)
+8.5% more
Charlotte: 41.1
vs
Brooklyn: 37.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
125.0
103
BKN Score
105.0
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.3 / 29.8
40.0 / 38.0
Assists
22.8 / 23.9
33.0 / 26.0
Blocks
4.3 / 5.3
3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 44.0
45.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
74.0 / 85.2
76.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
37.6 / 41.1
43.0 / 42.0
Steals
5.1 / 7.2
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
16.7 / 12.9
11.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
CHA
BKN
CHA
ML
53%
50-45
61%
60-39
59%
48-34
48%
40-44
ATS
52%
48-44-3
60%
59-40
59%
48-34
48%
40-44
TTL
57%
54-41
58%
57-42
100%
82-0
100%
84-0
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