TEMPLE
OWLSTEM
4-4 | Road
56
VILLANOVA
WILDCATSVILL
6-1 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
100%
WILDCATS
0%
OWLS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
VILLANOVA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Villanova)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VILL -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VILL)
TEM By 1-7 points
8.0%
TEM By 8-14 points
2.2%
VILL By 1-7 points
20.1%
VILL By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Temple
69
TEMPLE
Villanova
81
VILLANOVA
Simulated Score
Temple
68
TEMPLE
Villanova
75
VILLANOVA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 1, 2025
TEM @ VILL
56 - 74
Dec 7, 2024
VILL @ TEM
94 - 65
Nov 11, 2022
VILL @ TEM
64 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+51.3% more
Villanova: 16.7
vs
Temple: 11.0
Steals (L5)
+47.5% more
Villanova: 6.4
vs
Temple: 4.4
Rebounding (L5)
+12.9% more
Villanova: 36.4
vs
Temple: 32.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
Villanova: 50.1%
vs
Temple: 47.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEM Score
69.0
56
VILL Score
81.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.0 / 35.3
34.0 / 38.0
Assists
16.7 / 11.0
13.0 / 5.0
Blocks
1.3 / 2.9
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
50.1 / 47.2
44.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
69.1 / 72.8
67.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
36.4 / 32.2
43.0 / 24.0
Steals
6.4 / 4.4
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 9.6
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEM
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
VILL
Advantage
24-9-0
(72.7%)
Margin: 5.9
ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEM
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
VILL
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 5.9
ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
TEM
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
VILL
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VILL
TEM
VILL
TEM
ML
44%
14-18
62%
20-12
72%
23-9
67%
20-10
ATS
56%
18-14
56%
18-14
72%
23-9
67%
20-10
TTL
41%
13-19
69%
22-10
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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