Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lancers @ Buffaloes CBU @ COLO

CALIFORNIA BAPTIST

LANCERSCBU

7-1  |  Road

70
FINAL
Mon, Dec 1 • 9:00 PM ET
CU Events Center
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

BUFFALOESCOLO

8-0  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
LANCERS
0%
📊
BUFFALOES
100%
LANCERS --
BUFFALOES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (California Baptist)
LancersCBU (-3.5) 0 BuffaloesCOLO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lancers Cover

57.9%

Buffaloes Cover

42.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CBU -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBU)

CBU By 1-7 points

26.8%

CBU By 8-14 points

18.6%

COLO By 1-7 points

23.0%

COLO By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
66
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
64
COLORADO
Simulated Score
65
CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
78
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lancers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Buffaloes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lancers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Buffaloes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 1, 2025 CBU @ COLO 70 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +31.8% more
California Baptist: 7.7 vs Colorado: 5.3
Turnovers (L5) +17.7% more
California Baptist: 12.1 vs Colorado: 9.9
Blocks (L5) +163.0% more
Colorado: 4.8 vs California Baptist: 1.8
Assists (L5) +58.7% more
Colorado: 18.2 vs California Baptist: 11.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CBU Score 66.0 70
COLO Score 64.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 43.1 / 35.8 38.0 / 15.0
Assists 18.2 / 11.5 11.0 / 9.0
Blocks 4.8 / 1.8 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 49.9 / 46.3 45.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 73.2 / 70.6 77.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 37.9 / 39.2 41.0 / 35.0
Steals 5.3 / 7.7 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.9 / 12.1 10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
32%MONEY68%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CBU Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +1.5
COLO
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CBU Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +1.5
COLO
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
CBU
12-22-0
O: 35.3% / U: 64.7% Total +/-: -4.1
COLO
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLO
CBU
COLO
CBU
ML
61% 20-13
50% 17-17
69% 22-10
76% 25-8
ATS
73% 24-9
53% 18-16
69% 22-10
76% 25-8
TTL
45% 15-18
47% 16-18
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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