WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
13-11-0 | Road
1
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
10-11-4 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Thomas Milic
#32 | G@
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Milic | None-None | 3.00 | 0.882 | -- |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 1.00 | 0.958 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.882
Save %
Ldr 0.958
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
100%
SABRES
0%
JETS
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
WPG By 1 goal
12.1%
WPG By 2-3 goals
9.3%
BUF By 1 goal
19.7%
BUF By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Winnipeg
4
WINNIPEG
Buffalo
3
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sabres
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Sabres (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Jets (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 5, 2025
BUF @ WPG
1 - 4
Dec 1, 2025
WPG @ BUF
1 - 5
Mar 23, 2025
BUF @ WPG
5 - 3
Dec 5, 2024
WPG @ BUF
3 - 2
Mar 3, 2024
WPG @ BUF
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+69.9% more
Buffalo: 6.2
vs
Winnipeg: 3.6
Shots on Goal (L5)
+38.0% more
Buffalo: 32.6
vs
Winnipeg: 23.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+18.8% more
Winnipeg: 15.2
vs
Buffalo: 12.4
Hits (L5)
+12.2% more
Winnipeg: 24.2
vs
Buffalo: 21.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WPG Score
3.0
1
BUF Score
4.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.4 / 15.2
8.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
44.8 / 52.8
52.3 / 47.7
Hits
21.2 / 24.2
12.0 / 35.0
Power Play %
7.6 / 16.2
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.6 / 23.6
31.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
6.2 / 3.6
6.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
WPG
BUF
WPG
ML
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
100%
4-0
TTL
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
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