Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dolphins @ Cardinals LEM @ BALL

LE MOYNE

DOLPHINSLEM

4-5  |  Road

85
FINAL
Sun, Nov 30 • 12:00 PM ET
Kirby Sports Center
View Odds Details →

BALL STATE

CARDINALSBALL

3-5  |  Home

96
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
100%
📊
CARDINALS
0%
DOLPHINS --
CARDINALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
BALL STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Ball State)
DolphinsLEM (-3.5) 0 CardinalsBALL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dolphins Cover

18.4%

Cardinals Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BALL -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BALL)

LEM By 1-7 points

12.2%

LEM By 8-14 points

4.0%

BALL By 1-7 points

24.3%

BALL By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
65
LE MOYNE
74
BALL STATE
Simulated Score
65
LE MOYNE
78
BALL STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cardinals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cardinals (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Cardinals (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 30, 2025 LEM @ BALL 85 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +22.0% more
Ball State: 5.5 vs Le Moyne: 4.5
Blocks (L5) +9.8% more
Ball State: 4.8 vs Le Moyne: 4.4
Assists (L5) +29.1% more
Le Moyne: 15.0 vs Ball State: 10.7
Turnovers (L5) +14.8% more
Le Moyne: 13.8 vs Ball State: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LEM Score 65.0 85
BALL Score 74.0 96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.1 / 36.4 45.0 / 47.0
Assists 10.7 / 15.0 17.0 / 16.0
Blocks 4.8 / 4.4 1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 35.3 / 48.8 47.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 68.3 / 75.8 71.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 34.0 / 34.7 38.0 / 26.0
Steals 5.5 / 4.5 8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 13.8 11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
56%MONEY44%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
89%MONEY11%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEM Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: +0.9
BALL
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEM Advantage
16-15-0 (51.6%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: +0.9
BALL
14-14-1 (50.0%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +1.1
BALL
9-19-1
O: 32.1% / U: 67.9% Total +/-: -6.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BALL
LEM
BALL
LEM
ML
43% 13-17
68% 21-10
62% 18-11
68% 21-10
ATS
67% 20-10
65% 20-11
62% 18-11
69% 22-10
TTL
50% 15-15
42% 13-18
100% 29-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Drake Men's Basketball Enters Year 2 Under Eric Henderson with R…
kcci 0 minutes ago
Greg Gard: Wisconsin Basketball Has Evolved While Keeping Its Id…
newspub_live 0 minutes ago
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
bleacherreport 3 hours, 44 minutes ago
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud in $9,000 Scheme
wsls 3 hours, 56 minutes ago
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
saturdaydownsouth 9 hours, 58 minutes ago