SIENA
SAINTSSIE
7-2 | Road
64
MAINE
BLACK BEARSME
0-9 | Home
60
AI Model Win Probability
SAINTS
0%
BLACK BEARS
100%
SAINTS
--
BLACK BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
MAINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ME +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ME)
SIE By 1-7 points
27.2%
SIE By 8-14 points
23.0%
ME By 1-7 points
18.6%
ME By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Siena
81
SIENA
Maine
76
MAINE
Simulated Score
Siena
68
SIENA
Maine
72
MAINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Saints
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Black Bears
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Black Bears (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim
Black Bears (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o127.5
Loss
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u127.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 30, 2025
SIE @ ME
64 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+18.6% more
Siena: 10.0
vs
Maine: 8.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.9%
Siena: 68.9%
vs
Maine: 55.0%
Rebounding (L5)
+8.6% more
Siena: 32.2
vs
Maine: 29.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
Siena: 46.9%
vs
Maine: 44.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SIE Score
81.0
64
ME Score
76.0
60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.8 / 23.7
44.0 / 17.0
Assists
10.4 / 11.1
8.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.4 / 2.1
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.6 / 46.9
49.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
55.0 / 68.9
47.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
29.4 / 32.2
25.0 / 32.0
Steals
8.1 / 10.0
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
15.2 / 14.2
11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIE
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.3
ME
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIE
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.3
ME
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SIE
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
ME
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ME
SIE
ME
SIE
ML
45%
14-17
66%
23-12
52%
16-15
48%
16-17
ATS
55%
17-14
66%
23-12
52%
16-15
48%
16-17
TTL
55%
17-14
54%
19-16
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
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