AI Model Win Probability
HATTERS
100%
COLONIALS
0%
HATTERS
--
COLONIALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
ROBERT MORRIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Robert Morris)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RMU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RMU)
STET By 1-7 points
21.6%
STET By 8-14 points
10.7%
RMU By 1-7 points
27.2%
RMU By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Stetson
75
STETSON
Robert Morris
78
ROBERT MORRIS
Simulated Score
Stetson
72
STETSON
Robert Morris
75
ROBERT MORRIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Colonials
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Colonials
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Colonials (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Colonials (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 30, 2025
STET @ RMU
62 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+94.1% more
Robert Morris: 3.7
vs
Stetson: 1.9
Assists (L5)
+35.1% more
Robert Morris: 17.2
vs
Stetson: 12.7
Rebounding (L5)
+23.5% more
Robert Morris: 40.8
vs
Stetson: 33.1
Steals (L5)
+12.7% more
Robert Morris: 8.1
vs
Stetson: 7.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STET Score
75.0
62
RMU Score
78.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.4 / 33.5
50.0 / 24.0
Assists
17.2 / 12.7
19.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.7 / 1.9
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 46.0
55.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
61.5 / 69.1
43.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
40.8 / 33.1
38.0 / 25.0
Steals
8.1 / 7.2
3.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 13.6
7.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STET
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
RMU
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STET
18-13-0
(58.1%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
RMU
Advantage
19-11-1
(63.3%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
STET
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +1.6
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RMU
STET
RMU
STET
ML
36%
12-21
55%
18-15
56%
18-14
73%
24-9
ATS
55%
18-15
64%
21-12
56%
18-14
73%
24-9
TTL
55%
18-15
61%
20-13
100%
32-0
100%
33-0