Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pride @ Quakers HOF @ PENN

HOFSTRA

PRIDEHOF

3-3  |  Road

77
FINAL
Sun, Nov 30 • 2:30 PM ET
The Palestra
View Odds Details →

PENNSYLVANIA

QUAKERSPENN

4-2  |  Home

60
AI Model Win Probability
PRIDE
0%
📊
QUAKERS
100%
PRIDE --
QUAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Hofstra)
PrideHOF (-3.5) 0 QuakersPENN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pride Cover

65.5%

Quakers Cover

34.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOF -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)

HOF By 1-7 points

27.4%

HOF By 8-14 points

21.6%

PENN By 1-7 points

20.1%

PENN By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
83
HOFSTRA
79
PENNSYLVANIA
Simulated Score
70
HOFSTRA
75
PENNSYLVANIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pride Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Quakers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pride (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Quakers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 30, 2025 HOF @ PENN 77 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +3.8%
Hofstra: 72.3% vs Pennsylvania: 68.5%
Blocks (L5) +21.2% more
Pennsylvania: 4.3 vs Hofstra: 3.5
Field Goal % (L5) +4.3%
Pennsylvania: 48.9% vs Hofstra: 44.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.4%
Pennsylvania: 39.6% vs Hofstra: 37.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOF Score 83.0 77
PENN Score 79.0 60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.6 / 37.2 33.0 / 35.0
Assists 14.6 / 15.3 13.0 / 14.0
Blocks 4.3 / 3.5 1.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 48.9 / 44.6 32.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 68.5 / 72.3 71.0 / 94.0
Rebounding 37.8 / 38.0 31.0 / 40.0
Steals 5.3 / 5.3 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 12.6 10.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
59%MONEY41%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOF Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.7 ATS +/-: +4.0
PENN
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOF Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 8.7 ATS +/-: +4.0
PENN
--
⚖️ Over/Under
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +0.2
PENN
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PENN
HOF
PENN
HOF
ML
53% 16-14
77% 27-8
76% 22-7
71% 25-10
ATS
63% 19-11
83% 29-6
76% 22-7
71% 25-10
TTL
70% 21-9
51% 18-17
100% 29-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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