FORDHAM
RAMSFOR
5-2 | Road
62
COLGATE
RAIDERSCOLG
3-4 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
RAIDERS
0%
RAMS
--
RAIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
105.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
COLGATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Colgate)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLG -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLG)
FOR By 1-7 points
9.3%
FOR By 8-14 points
2.7%
COLG By 1-7 points
21.6%
COLG By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Fordham
47
FORDHAM
Colgate
58
COLGATE
Simulated Score
Fordham
71
FORDHAM
Colgate
75
COLGATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Raiders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raiders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Raiders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Raiders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 105.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 30, 2025
FOR @ COLG
62 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+19.5% more
Colgate: 4.5
vs
Fordham: 3.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.7%
Colgate: 70.2%
vs
Fordham: 61.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.5%
Colgate: 52.7%
vs
Fordham: 50.2%
Assists (L5)
+25.3% more
Fordham: 18.6
vs
Colgate: 13.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FOR Score
47.0
62
COLG Score
58.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.6 / 37.7
35.0 / 22.0
Assists
13.9 / 18.6
13.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.5 / 3.8
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
52.7 / 50.2
45.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
70.2 / 61.5
82.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
36.0 / 39.5
36.0 / 32.0
Steals
5.9 / 6.4
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 12.4
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FOR
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
COLG
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FOR
Advantage
16-12-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
COLG
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9%
Total +/-: -6.8
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLG
FOR
COLG
FOR
ML
59%
19-13
59%
19-13
69%
22-10
59%
19-13
ATS
72%
23-9
59%
19-13
70%
23-10
59%
19-13
TTL
78%
25-7
59%
19-13
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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