AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
CHANTICLEERS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
CHANTICLEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
COASTAL CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Coastal Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CCU -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CCU)
AAMU By 1-7 points
5.8%
AAMU By 8-14 points
1.4%
CCU By 1-7 points
16.9%
CCU By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Alabama A&M
72
ALABAMA A&M
Coastal Carolina
86
COASTAL CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Alabama A&M
65
ALABAMA A&M
Coastal Carolina
78
COASTAL CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Chanticleers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Chanticleers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Chanticleers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Chanticleers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 30, 2025
AAMU @ CCU
60 - 67
Nov 23, 2024
CCU @ AAMU
70 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+34.8% more
Coastal Carolina: 39.6
vs
Alabama A&M: 29.4
Assists (L5)
+11.7% more
Coastal Carolina: 10.5
vs
Alabama A&M: 9.4
Steals (L5)
+45.7% more
Alabama A&M: 6.7
vs
Coastal Carolina: 3.6
Turnovers (L5)
+13.6% more
Alabama A&M: 12.6
vs
Coastal Carolina: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AAMU Score
72.0
60
CCU Score
86.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.6 / 30.0
29.0 / 32.0
Assists
10.5 / 9.4
8.0 / 5.0
Blocks
2.6 / 2.5
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
38.2 / 39.4
34.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
63.5 / 74.2
82.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
39.6 / 29.4
44.0 / 37.0
Steals
3.6 / 6.7
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 12.6
11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AAMU
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
CCU
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AAMU
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
CCU
Advantage
18-12-1
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
AAMU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.3
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCU
AAMU
CCU
AAMU
ML
41%
13-19
55%
16-13
55%
17-14
67%
16-8
ATS
38%
12-20
55%
16-13
55%
17-14
67%
16-8
TTL
75%
24-8
66%
19-10
100%
31-0
100%
24-0