OLD DOMINION
MONARCHSODU
3-5 | Road
75
WILLIAM & MARY
TRIBEW&M
6-2 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
MONARCHS
0%
TRIBE
100%
MONARCHS
--
TRIBE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
OLD DOMINION
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Old Dominion)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ODU -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ODU)
ODU By 1-7 points
2.7%
ODU By 8-14 points
9.3%
W&M By 1-7 points
0.4%
W&M By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Old Dominion
78
OLD DOMINION
William & Mary
52
WILLIAM & MARY
Simulated Score
Old Dominion
69
OLD DOMINION
William & Mary
76
WILLIAM & MARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Monarchs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tribe
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Monarchs (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim
Tribe (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 30, 2025
ODU @ W&M
75 - 88
Dec 2, 2024
W&M @ ODU
83 - 88
Dec 6, 2023
ODU @ W&M
79 - 84
Dec 7, 2022
W&M @ ODU
62 - 72
Dec 7, 2021
ODU @ W&M
74 - 59
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.8%
Old Dominion: 40.7%
vs
William & Mary: 34.9%
Steals (L5)
+87.2% more
William & Mary: 9.9
vs
Old Dominion: 5.3
Blocks (L5)
+61.7% more
William & Mary: 4.4
vs
Old Dominion: 2.7
Turnovers (L5)
+47.9% more
William & Mary: 15.2
vs
Old Dominion: 10.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ODU Score
78.0
75
W&M Score
52.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 40.7
23.0 / 26.0
Assists
19.3 / 13.9
20.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.4 / 2.7
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
53.4 / 44.2
50.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
69.3 / 68.9
83.0 / 92.0
Rebounding
37.2 / 34.2
39.0 / 27.0
Steals
9.9 / 5.3
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.2 / 10.3
12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ODU
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +0.7
W&M
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ODU
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +0.7
W&M
Advantage
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
ODU
21-10-1
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3%
Total +/-: +3.0
W&M
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
W&M
ODU
W&M
ODU
ML
55%
17-14
52%
17-16
61%
19-12
67%
22-11
ATS
63%
19-11-1
70%
23-10
61%
19-12
67%
22-11
TTL
61%
19-12
70%
23-10
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
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